000
WTNT24 KNHC 122030
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  93.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT.......105NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 360SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  93.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  93.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.0N  94.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...105NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 38.5N  89.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  93.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA