000
WTNT24 KNHC 111445
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC THU SEP 11 2008
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH
OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  88.4W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT.......230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 240SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  88.4W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  88.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.9N  90.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.6N  92.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.8N  94.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.5N  95.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 125SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.5N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 38.0N  85.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  88.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN