000
WTNT24 KNHC 110844
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0900 UTC THU SEP 11 2008
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA WESTWARD
TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  87.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT.......220NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 240SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  87.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  87.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.7N  89.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.3N  91.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.1N  93.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.4N  95.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...125NE 110SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 37.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL ZONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  87.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN