000
WTNT24 KNHC 060840
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF
HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
GONAIVES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER
TODAY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  67.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE  90SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  67.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  66.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.1N  69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.8N  71.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.6N  74.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.8N  76.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  67.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB