000
WTNT24 KNHC 060255
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008
 
AT 1100 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 11 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA ON
SATURDAY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  65.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  65.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  64.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N  67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N  70.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.9N  72.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.9N  75.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.9N  79.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N  65.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA