000
WTNT24 KNHC 051442
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  62.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  62.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.9N  64.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N  67.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.2N  69.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N  72.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  62.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE