000
WTNT24 KNHC 050245
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  59.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  59.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N  61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N  66.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N  69.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN