000
WTNT24 KNHC 041433
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC THU SEP 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  57.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  57.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  56.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.8N  58.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.6N  63.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N  66.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  57.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE