000
WTNT24 KNHC 040253
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC THU SEP 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  54.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE  75SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  54.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  53.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.1N  56.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N  58.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.3N  61.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.8N  63.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  54.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN