000
WTNT24 KNHC 020855
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0900 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  43.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE  30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  43.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  42.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N  45.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N  48.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N  51.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.8N  54.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  43.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH