000
WTNT24 KNHC 012040
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC MON SEP 01 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  40.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  40.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N  42.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N  45.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  40.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA