000
WTNT24 KNHC 292030
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  29.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  29.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  29.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.3N  30.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N  33.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.5N  41.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 24.0N  44.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N  45.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  29.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA