000
WTNT24 KNHC 200244
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
0300 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CANCUN ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.  IN ADDITION...THE
HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD...AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN JAMAICA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.  PREPARATIONS ELSEWHERE IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD
TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES
OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE
BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  925 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  77.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N  81.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N  84.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.2N  88.4W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.8N  91.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.0N  99.0W...INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  78.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS