000
WTNT24 KNHC 190843
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
0900 UTC SUN AUG 19 2007
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM WEST OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 5 AM EDT....0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HAITI NORTH
OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF
GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...
CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DEAN.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  73.4W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  73.4W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  72.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N  76.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.9N  79.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N  83.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N  86.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.5N 103.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  73.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN