000
WTNT24 KNHC 150245
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
0300 UTC WED AUG 15 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  42.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  42.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  41.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.2N  44.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.4N  48.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.8N  51.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.4N  55.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 16.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  42.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN