000
WTNT24 KNHC 131450
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
1500 UTC MON AUG 13 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  31.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  31.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  30.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.0N  34.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.9N  38.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.9N  41.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.9N  44.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 16.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  31.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB