887 
WTNT23 KNHC 140847
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  68.1W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT.......140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 170SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..435NE 420SE 390SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  68.1W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  68.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.7N  68.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 170SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.3N  67.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 180SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.3N  66.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
34 KT...260NE 250SE 210SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.5N  66.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 210SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 42.5N  66.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 230SE 180SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.2N  65.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 120SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 50.2N  58.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 54.6N  45.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  68.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 14/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG