080 
WTNT23 KNHC 102034
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  61.7W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  61.7W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  61.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N  62.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.3N  63.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 24.2N  66.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.7N  67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.6N  67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 28.9N  68.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 33.6N  67.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  61.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN