000
WTNT23 KNHC 090239
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  56.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  56.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  56.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N  59.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  60.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N  63.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N  66.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 25.3N  67.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  56.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG