000
WTNT23 KNHC 081453
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  54.5W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  54.5W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  54.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N  56.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  57.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N  59.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  60.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.7N  63.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 24.8N  67.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  54.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN