000
WTNT23 KNHC 060836
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  44.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  44.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  44.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.3N  46.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.1N  48.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.0N  51.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.0N  53.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.1N  56.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  58.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 21.1N  62.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  44.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI