016 
WTNT23 KNHC 210844
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032023
0900 UTC WED JUN 21 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  51.4W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  51.4W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.1N  53.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.5N  55.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  10SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.8N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.2N  61.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N  65.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N  69.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 15.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  51.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH