000
WTNT23 KNHC 192042
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032023
2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  42.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  42.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  41.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.7N  44.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.2N  47.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.7N  50.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.2N  52.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.7N  55.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.3N  58.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N  63.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  42.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KELLY