000 WTNT23 KNHC 300836 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019 0900 UTC MON SEP 30 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 43.1W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 50 KT.......110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT.......210NE 220SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 360SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 43.1W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 43.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.3N 42.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.7N 40.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.0N 36.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 290SE 230SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.5N 31.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. 50 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 110NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 52.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...170NE 150SE 140SW 100NW. 34 KT...390NE 360SE 320SW 360NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 57.0N 13.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 43.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 30/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI