000
WTNT23 KNHC 232033
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  25.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  25.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  24.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.7N  27.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.4N  30.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  40SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.6N  35.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  70SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.4N  40.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  70SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.3N  43.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  25.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY