358 
WTNT23 KNHC 040232
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132018
0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  57.0W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 540SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  57.0W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.2N  57.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 36.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 37.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 36.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 36.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  57.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA