000
WTNT23 KNHC 172050
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  65.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 250SE 220SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  65.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  65.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.1N  63.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 125 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.7N  60.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.7N  54.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.5N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 160SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  65.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA