000
WTNT23 KNHC 160831
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  68.7W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  68.7W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  68.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.8N  68.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.2N  67.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.9N  65.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 45.5N  53.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 200SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 52.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 55.0N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN