000
WTNT23 KNHC 050239
TCMAT3

HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  73.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  73.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  73.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.7N  71.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N  68.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.3N  64.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.1N  58.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 47.5N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 48.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 49.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN