000
WTNT23 KNHC 041438
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  73.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  70SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  73.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  73.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.0N  73.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.4N  72.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N  69.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 49.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  73.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH