000
WTNT23 KNHC 031433
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  72.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  72.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  72.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.3N  73.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.4N  74.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.7N  73.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.7N  71.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 44.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 47.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  72.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH