000
WTNT23 KNHC 282032
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC SUN OCT 28 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SURF CITY
NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA
 
IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH
POINT...THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  71.3W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE 150SW   0NW.
50 KT.......  0NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
34 KT.......450NE 330SE 330SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 660SE 660SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  71.3W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  71.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 35.0N  70.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE 150SW 100NW.
50 KT... 60NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
34 KT...450NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.7N  71.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...400NE 360SE 360SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.5N  74.8W...INLAND/POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 330SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 40.2N  76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 200SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 42.7N  76.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 44.7N  75.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 45.6N  71.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N  71.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/ROBERTS