000
WTNT23 KNHC 281457
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1500 UTC SUN OCT 28 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA
 
IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATTHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATTHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  72.6W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE 150SW   0NW.
50 KT.......  0NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
34 KT.......450NE 300SE 300SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 660SE 460SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  72.6W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 34.0N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE 150SW 100NW.
50 KT... 60NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
34 KT...450NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.4N  70.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 120SE 150SW 100NW.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...400NE 360SE 360SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.7N  72.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...100NE 120SE 150SW 100NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 200SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 360SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 40.1N  76.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...175NE 200SE 130SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 220SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 41.3N  77.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 44.5N  76.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 46.6N  73.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N  72.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART