000
WTNT23 KNHC 240245
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
0300 UTC WED OCT 24 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SANDY.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  77.2W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  77.2W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  77.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.7N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  76.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.7N  76.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.3N  76.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  90SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 120SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 30.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 33.0N  68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  77.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN