000
WTNT23 KNHC 230251
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH AND/OR A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED
FOR JAMAICA BY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.6N  78.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.8N  77.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.6N  77.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N  77.1W...INLAND OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.7N  75.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  70SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.7N  75.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 28.2N  73.6W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  78.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART