000
WTNT23 KNHC 222057
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR HAITI.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH AND/OR A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED
FOR JAMAICA TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  78.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  78.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.6N  78.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.9N  78.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.4N  77.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.2N  77.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  60SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH