000
WTNT23 KNHC 102038
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  47.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  47.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.2N  48.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.8N  47.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.2N  44.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 49.6N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  90SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABOSORBED BY A FRONT
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  47.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN