000
WTNT23 KNHC 092032
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  43.8W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  43.8W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  43.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.6N  44.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.2N  46.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.4N  47.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.9N  47.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 47.2N  40.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  43.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN