000
WTNT23 KNHC 070232
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0300 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  40.8W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  40.8W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  40.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.2N  40.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.7N  41.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.3N  42.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 36.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  40.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG