000
WTNT23 KNHC 060239
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0300 UTC THU SEP 06 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  42.2W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  42.2W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  42.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.8N  41.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.5N  41.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N  41.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.7N  43.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 34.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 35.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  42.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH