000
WTNT23 KNHC 052033
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
2100 UTC WED SEP 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  42.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  42.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  42.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.3N  42.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N  41.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.6N  41.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N  41.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.1N  42.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.2N  44.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N  46.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  42.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS