000
WTNT23 KNHC 050837
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  43.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  43.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  43.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.6N  43.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N  43.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N  42.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.7N  42.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.8N  43.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N  43.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN