000
WTNT23 KNHC 042048
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  43.7W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  43.7W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  43.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.1N  43.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.8N  43.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N  43.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.9N  42.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.9N  43.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 32.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  43.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN