000
WTNT23 KNHC 201440
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032012
1500 UTC WED JUN 20 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  51.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 140SE 220SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  51.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  52.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N  43.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 43.6N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 45.0N  43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE  60SE  50SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.0N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N  51.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN