000
WTNT23 KNHC 280835
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
0900 UTC FRI OCT 28 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  87.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  87.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  87.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N  86.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.3N  86.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.6N  86.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  86.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.2N  86.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  86.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N  87.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  87.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART