000
WTNT23 KNHC 271439
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
1500 UTC THU OCT 27 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL
TO PROGRESO
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  87.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  87.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  87.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N  87.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.1N  87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N  86.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  86.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 20.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 19.0N  86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  87.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN