000
WTNT23 KNHC 260841
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
0900 UTC WED OCT 26 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD
* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  85.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  85.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  85.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N  85.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.2N  86.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N  86.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 23.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 23.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  85.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH