000
WTNT23 KNHC 241809
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE RINA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
1815 UTC MON OCT 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  83.0W AT 24/1815Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  83.0W AT 24/1800Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N  83.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N  84.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.8N  84.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N  85.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.2N  87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  83.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS