000
WTNT23 KNHC 041450
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132011
1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  91.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE  90SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  91.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  92.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.1N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.6N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N  88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.6N  87.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.5N  86.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 36.5N  86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  91.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART