000
WTNT23 KNHC 040840
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  92.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  92.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.0N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.3N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.8N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N  88.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 34.5N  86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 37.0N  84.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  92.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH